Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.237827 0.268403 0.300820 0.337685 0.378385 0.421880 0.471814
2025-08-10 0.201785 0.243852 0.291044 0.347689 0.413601 0.487639 0.576847
2025-08-17 0.170071 0.218249 0.275021 0.346387 0.433193 0.534815 0.662200
2025-08-24 0.146592 0.198570 0.262565 0.346351 0.452261 0.580721 0.747240
2025-08-31 0.127722 0.181835 0.251184 0.345371 0.468583 0.622772 0.828574
2025-09-07 0.115528 0.172026 0.247076 0.352373 0.494320 0.676834 0.926651
2025-09-14 0.103048 0.160214 0.238801 0.352503 0.510157 0.718032 1.009238
2025-09-21 0.092604 0.149992 0.231471 0.352785 0.525428 0.758377 1.091669
2025-09-28 0.083709 0.140989 0.224846 0.353113 0.540133 0.797927 1.173992
2025-10-05 0.077369 0.135126 0.222107 0.358476 0.561736 0.847364 1.271342
2025-10-12 0.072794 0.131505 0.222268 0.367829 0.589194 0.905739 1.383040
2025-10-19 0.067308 0.125820 0.218689 0.371036 0.607385 0.951219 1.477705
2025-10-26 0.063073 0.121985 0.217960 0.378944 0.633600 1.010308 1.595768
2025-11-02 0.059622 0.119141 0.218551 0.388856 0.663241 1.075538 1.725256
2025-11-09 0.054268 0.112374 0.212082 0.386820 0.673923 1.112568 1.814024
2025-11-16 0.049771 0.106685 0.206926 0.386460 0.686996 1.153452 1.909757
2025-11-23 0.045591 0.101141 0.201532 0.385213 0.698336 1.191806 2.002660
2025-11-30 0.043145 0.098686 0.201373 0.392813 0.724392 1.253933 2.134171
2025-12-07 0.039852 0.094192 0.197134 0.392907 0.737722 1.296132 2.235641
2025-12-14 0.036889 0.090052 0.193196 0.393191 0.751209 1.338842 2.339055
2025-12-21 0.034199 0.086195 0.189467 0.393537 0.764656 1.381753 2.443919
2025-12-28 0.032376 0.084018 0.188797 0.399418 0.787919 1.441476 2.577671
2026-01-04 0.031160 0.083063 0.190443 0.409679 0.819295 1.515637 2.737111